Cubs at Reds
CHC13–
CIN6Last play · Will Benson grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Reds0%
CHC 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 2 – 6 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Reds favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Pete Crow-Armstrong hits a grand slam (14) to right field. Ian Happ scores. Kyle Tucker scores. Seiya Suzuki scores. (inning 7) — -67% Cubs
9Dansby Swanson homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Carson Kelly scores.13–6
8Seiya Suzuki homers (13) on a fly ball to left field. Nico Hoerner scores. Ian Happ scores.11–6
7Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Pete Crow-Armstrong hits a grand slam (14) to right field. Ian Happ scores. Kyle Tucker scores. Seiya Suzuki scores.8–6
7Kyle Tucker singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Will Benson. Nico Hoerner scores. Matt Shaw scores. Ian Happ to 2nd.4–6
5TJ Friedl singles on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Tyler Stephenson scores. Will Benson to 3rd.2–6
5Tyler Stephenson doubles (5) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Spencer Steer scores.2–5
4Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Seiya Suzuki scores.2–4
3Spencer Steer lines out to third baseman Matt Shaw.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.