Orioles at Red Sox
BAL5–
BOS6Last play · Rafael Devers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
BAL 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 5 – 3 BOS
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Red Sox favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ramón Urías doubles (4) on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Adley Rutschman scores. Gunnar Henderson scores. (inning 1) — -22% Orioles
10Rafael Devers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.5–6
6Nick Sogard grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Emmanuel Rivera. Wilyer Abreu scores. Carlos Narváez to 3rd.5–5
6Carlos Narváez reaches on a fielder's choice. Rafael Devers scores. Wilyer Abreu to 3rd. Carlos Narváez to 2nd. Throwing error by shortstop Gunnar Henderson.5–4
5Abraham Toro homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.5–3
5Ryan Mountcastle pops out to first baseman Abraham Toro.5–2
5Gunnar Henderson doubles (10) on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Jackson Holliday scores. Adley Rutschman to 3rd.4–2
5Jackson Holliday grounds into a force out, second baseman David Hamilton to shortstop Trevor Story. Heston Kjerstad scores. Emmanuel Rivera out at 2nd. Jackson Holliday to 1st.3–2
1Wilyer Abreu homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.