Padres at Braves
Last play · Luis Arraez grounds out, second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Braves100%
SD 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 1 – 3 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Braves favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ozzie Albies singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Manny Machado. Austin Riley scores. Alex Verdugo to 2nd. (inning 3) — +12% Braves
7Michael Harris II singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Austin Riley scores. Alex Verdugo scores. Ozzie Albies to 3rd.1–7
6Ronald Acuña Jr. homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Nick Allen scores.1–5
3Ozzie Albies singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Manny Machado. Austin Riley scores. Alex Verdugo to 2nd.1–3
3Matt Olson homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
3Manny Machado singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Brandon Lockridge scores.1–1
2Nick Allen singles on a ground ball to third baseman Manny Machado. Alex Verdugo scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










