Royals at Twins
Last play · Ty France homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Carlos Correa scores.
Win probability
Twins100%
KC 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 1 MIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Twins favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ty France homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Carlos Correa scores. (inning 9) — +24% Twins
9Ty France homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Carlos Correa scores.1–3
2Carlos Correa homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
1Cavan Biggio doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Jonathan India scores. Vinnie Pasquantino to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










