D-backs at Cardinals
Last play · Corbin Carroll pops out to third baseman Nolan Arenado.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
AZ 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 1 – 0 STL
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Cardinals favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nolan Arenado triples (1) on a fly ball to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr., deflected by center fielder Alek Thomas. Lars Nootbaar scores. Brendan Donovan scores. Iván Herrera scores. (inning 6) — +36% Cardinals
9Gabriel Moreno homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Randal Grichuk scores.3–4
6Nolan Arenado triples (1) on a fly ball to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr., deflected by center fielder Alek Thomas. Lars Nootbaar scores. Brendan Donovan scores. Iván Herrera scores.1–4
6Iván Herrera walks. Victor Scott II scores. Lars Nootbaar to 3rd. Brendan Donovan to 2nd.1–1
4Ketel Marte homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










