Cubs at Reds
Last play · Kyle Tucker flies out to right fielder Will Benson.
Win probability
Reds100%
CHC 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 1 – 6 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 11.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Reds favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Elly De La Cruz homers (9) on a line drive to right center field. Santiago Espinal scores. (inning 1) — +17% Reds
9Carson Kelly homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.4–6
8Pete Crow-Armstrong out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Will Benson. Seiya Suzuki scores.3–6
7Ian Happ grounds out, first baseman Spencer Steer to pitcher Graham Ashcraft. Carson Kelly scores. Matt Shaw to 3rd.2–6
5Spencer Steer singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong, deflected by shortstop Dansby Swanson. Elly De La Cruz scores.1–6
5Elly De La Cruz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. TJ Friedl scores. Santiago Espinal scores.1–5
4Will Benson out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Gavin Lux scores. Spencer Steer to 2nd.1–3
3Justin Turner homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
1Elly De La Cruz homers (9) on a line drive to right center field. Santiago Espinal scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










