Orioles at Red Sox
Last play · David Hamilton lines out to center fielder Jorge Mateo.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
BAL 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 0 – 0 BOS
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Red Sox favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan O'Hearn singles on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Gunnar Henderson scores. Adley Rutschman to 3rd. (inning 8) — -26% Orioles
9Abraham Toro homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.2–1
9Dylan Carlson doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Jorge Mateo scores.2–0
8Ryan O'Hearn singles on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Gunnar Henderson scores. Adley Rutschman to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










