Royals at Twins
Last play · Brooks Lee singles on a ground ball to center fielder Drew Waters. Carlos Correa scores. Ryan Jeffers to 3rd.
Win probability
Twins100%
KC 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 4 – 3 MIN
Royals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Twins favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ty France singles on a line drive to right fielder Mark Canha. Willi Castro scores. Christian Vázquez scores. (inning 5) — +28% Twins
9Brooks Lee singles on a ground ball to center fielder Drew Waters. Carlos Correa scores. Ryan Jeffers to 3rd.4–5
6Kody Clemens homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.4–4
5Ty France singles on a line drive to right fielder Mark Canha. Willi Castro scores. Christian Vázquez scores.4–3
5Harrison Bader homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.4–1
5Salvador Perez singles on a line drive to left fielder DaShawn Keirsey Jr. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.4–0
5Vinnie Pasquantino doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to left fielder DaShawn Keirsey Jr. Jonathan India scores.3–0
3Maikel Garcia singles on a line drive to right fielder Willi Castro. Freddy Fermin scores. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Salvador Perez to 3rd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










