Orioles at Red Sox
Last play · Jarren Duran strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
BAL 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 2 – 0 BOS
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 11.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Red Sox favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dylan Carlson homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 5) — -17% Orioles
9Abraham Toro singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Marcelo Mayer scores.5–1
8Ryan O'Hearn doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Gunnar Henderson scores. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Throwing error by center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Throwing error by shortstop Marcelo Mayer.5–0
6Ryan O'Hearn homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.3–0
5Dylan Carlson homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.2–0
4Ramón Urías out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Gunnar Henderson scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










