Padres at Braves
Last play · Alex Verdugo flies out to left fielder Brandon Lockridge in foul territory.
Win probability
Braves0%
SD 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 1 – 3 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Braves favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gavin Sheets homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Luis Arraez scores. (inning 6) — -31% Padres
8Manny Machado homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.5–3
7Jake Cronenworth homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.4–3
6Gavin Sheets homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Luis Arraez scores.3–3
5Ronald Acuña Jr. doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill.1–3
5Nick Allen out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Alex Verdugo scores. Ozzie Albies to 3rd.1–2
2Ozzie Albies doubles (7) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Austin Riley scores. Ozzie Albies out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Jackson Merrill to first baseman Luis Arraez to third baseman Manny Machado.1–1
1Jackson Merrill singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Manny Machado scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










