Last play · Jose Trevino grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Reds0%
CHC 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
CHC 3 – 8 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference
-135 / +115
Reds favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Seiya Suzuki homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. Ian Happ scores. Kyle Tucker scores. (inning 8) — -47% Cubs
8Seiya Suzuki homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. Ian Happ scores. Kyle Tucker scores.11–8
8Reese McGuire homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.8–8
7Michael Busch singles on a fly ball to right fielder Will Benson. Nico Hoerner scores.7–8
7Nico Hoerner doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Austin Hays. Dansby Swanson scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.6–8
6Ian Happ called out on strikes.4–8
5Jose Trevino doubles (12) on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Austin Hays scores.3–8
5Austin Hays triples (2) on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. TJ Friedl scores. Elly De La Cruz scores.3–7
5Elly De La Cruz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Matt McLain scores. TJ Friedl to 3rd.3–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.