Brewers at Pirates
Last play · Adam Frazier grounds out, second baseman Brice Turang to first baseman Rhys Hoskins.
Win probability
Pirates0%
MIL 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 3 – 1 PIT
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Pirates favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Caleb Durbin doubles (6) on a fly ball to left fielder Tommy Pham. Rhys Hoskins scores. Isaac Collins scores. (inning 8) — -34% Brewers
8Brice Turang doubles (5) on a ground ball to left fielder Tommy Pham. Caleb Durbin scores.6–5
8Caleb Durbin doubles (6) on a fly ball to left fielder Tommy Pham. Rhys Hoskins scores. Isaac Collins scores.5–5
7Adam Frazier doubles (6) on a fly ball to left fielder Isaac Collins. Andrew McCutchen scores. Alexander Canario scores. Adam Frazier to 3rd. Adam Frazier advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by left fielder Isaac Collins.3–5
6Tommy Pham singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Adam Frazier scores.3–3
6Adam Frazier singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Chourio. Alexander Canario scores.3–2
3Oneil Cruz homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.3–1
1Sal Frelick singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Christian Yelich scores. Isaac Collins scores. Sal Frelick to 3rd. Throwing error by center fielder Oneil Cruz.3–0
1Rhys Hoskins out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Alexander Canario. Jackson Chourio scores. Christian Yelich to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










