Blue Jays at Rays
Last play · Anthony Santander strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays100%
TOR 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 0 – 9 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Rays favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Lowe homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Josh Lowe scores. (inning 1) — +17% Rays
7Curtis Mead homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Christopher Morel scores.0–13
7Yandy Díaz grounds out sharply, second baseman Myles Straw to first baseman Ernie Clement. Kameron Misner scores.0–11
7Ben Rortvedt grounds out, shortstop Michael Stefanic to first baseman Ernie Clement. Taylor Walls scores. Kameron Misner to 3rd.0–10
5Yandy Díaz hits a ground-rule double (10) on a fly ball down the right-field line. Kameron Misner scores. Ben Rortvedt to 3rd.0–9
5Ben Rortvedt singles on a fly ball to right fielder George Springer. Chandler Simpson scores. Taylor Walls scores. Kameron Misner to 3rd.0–8
5Kameron Misner walks. Jonathan Aranda scores. Chandler Simpson to 3rd. Taylor Walls to 2nd.0–6
5Chandler Simpson singles on a line drive to center fielder Myles Straw. Junior Caminero scores. Jonathan Aranda to 2nd.0–5
5Blue Jays challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Jonathan Aranda reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Ernie Clement. Brandon Lowe scores.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










