Mariners at Astros
Last play · Christian Walker homers (6) on a line drive to left field. Jose Altuve scores.
Win probability
Astros100%
SEA 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 3 – 2 HOU
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Astros favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Walker homers (6) on a line drive to left field. Jose Altuve scores. (inning 9) — +24% Astros
9Christian Walker homers (6) on a line drive to left field. Jose Altuve scores.3–5
6Cam Smith doubles (6) on a line drive to right fielder Leody Taveras. Jake Meyers scores.3–3
3Victor Caratini out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Leody Taveras. Jose Altuve scores.3–2
3Christian Walker singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Isaac Paredes scores. Jose Altuve to 3rd.3–1
3Donovan Solano singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jose Altuve. Julio Rodríguez scores.3–0
1Mitch Garver doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. Julio Rodríguez scores. Randy Arozarena scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










