Dodgers at Mets
Last play · Michael Conforto strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets100%
LAD 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 1 – 3 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Mets favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pete Alonso homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Juan Soto scores. (inning 1) — +22% Mets
3Juan Soto grounds into a force out, second baseman Tommy Edman to shortstop Mookie Betts. Francisco Lindor scores. Mark Vientos out at 2nd. Juan Soto to 1st.1–3
1Pete Alonso homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Juan Soto scores.1–2
1Shohei Ohtani homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










