Royals at Twins
Last play · Brooks Lee grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
Win probability
Twins0%
KC 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 0 – 1 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Twins favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Maikel Garcia singles on a line drive to left fielder Willi Castro. Nick Loftin scores. Maikel Garcia to 2nd. Maikel Garcia advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by left fielder Willi Castro. (inning 10) — -26% Royals
10Maikel Garcia singles on a line drive to left fielder Willi Castro. Nick Loftin scores. Maikel Garcia to 2nd. Maikel Garcia advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by left fielder Willi Castro.2–1
7Freddy Fermin doubles (3) on a ground ball to center fielder Harrison Bader. Drew Waters scores.1–1
1Ty France singles on a line drive to center fielder Drew Waters. Ryan Jeffers scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










