Red Sox at Brewers
Last play · Connor Wong flies out to right fielder Sal Frelick.
Win probability
Brewers100%
BOS 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 0 – 2 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-165 / +140
Brewers favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jackson Chourio homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 1) — +13% Brewers
9Jarren Duran singles on a line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Trevor Story scores. Ceddanne Rafaela to 3rd.2–3
8Eric Haase singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Marcelo Mayer. William Contreras scores. Sal Frelick to 3rd. Caleb Durbin to 2nd.1–3
8Kristian Campbell grounds into a force out, third baseman Caleb Durbin to second baseman Brice Turang. Rafael Devers scores. Connor Wong out at 2nd. Kristian Campbell to 1st.1–2
5Andruw Monasterio doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Joey Ortiz scores.0–2
1Jackson Chourio homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










