Twins at Rays

Scoreboard

MIN2–TB7

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

George M. Steinbrenner Field · MIN 29-24 · TB 27-26

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	5	1
TB	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	·	7	13	0

Last play · Carlos Correa grounds into a force out, third baseman Junior Caminero to second baseman Curtis Mead. Ty France out at 2nd.

Win probability

Rays100%

MIN 0%TB 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIN 0 – 0 TB

Tied through 5

The book's line

ESPN BET · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 9.5 ↓

fair over 56% · hold 5.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+105 / -125

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Rays favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jonathan Aranda homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Brandon Lowe scores. Junior Caminero scores. (inning 6) — +36% Rays

Scoring plays

MIN–TB · 4 total

8Danny Jansen homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. José Caballero scores.2–7

8José Caballero doubles (9) on a fly ball to center fielder Willi Castro, deflected by left fielder Trevor Larnach. Jonathan Aranda scores. Curtis Mead scores.2–5

7Carlos Correa homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Ty France scores.2–3

6Jonathan Aranda homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Brandon Lowe scores. Junior Caminero scores.0–3

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.