Pirates at D-backs
Last play · Ke'Bryan Hayes lines out sharply to first baseman Josh Naylor.
Win probability
D-backs100%
PIT 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 5 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+225 / -275
D-backs favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tim Tawa out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Randal Grichuk scores. Gabriel Moreno to 3rd. (inning 2) — +10% D-backs
5Josh Naylor homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Eugenio Suárez scores.0–5
3Eugenio Suárez homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field.0–3
2Ketel Marte singles on a line drive to left fielder Alexander Canario. Gabriel Moreno scores.0–2
2Tim Tawa out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Randal Grichuk scores. Gabriel Moreno to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










