Reds at Royals
Last play · Michael Massey flies out to center fielder TJ Friedl.
Win probability
Royals0%
CIN 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 6 – 0 KC
Reds led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Royals favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Hays out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder John Rave. TJ Friedl scores. (inning 1) — -12% Reds
9Michael Massey flies out to center fielder TJ Friedl.7–4
8Santiago Espinal doubles (8) on a line drive to right fielder John Rave. Austin Hays scores.7–3
7Nick Loftin out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder TJ Friedl. Maikel Garcia scores.6–3
7Salvador Perez homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.6–2
5Tyler Stephenson homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Gavin Lux scores.6–0
3Will Benson out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder John Rave. Gavin Lux scores.4–0
3Tyler Stephenson singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder John Rave. Austin Hays scores. Gavin Lux to 3rd.3–0
3Gavin Lux singles on a fly ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Elly De La Cruz scores. Austin Hays to 3rd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










