Athletics at Astros
Last play · Tyler Soderstrom strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros100%
ATH 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 1 – 9 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Astros favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jeremy Peña homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Mauricio Dubón scores. (inning 2) — +12% Astros
6Christian Walker homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Jose Altuve scores.1–11
4Jose Altuve homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Jeremy Peña scores.1–9
4Lawrence Butler homers (8) on a line drive to center field.1–7
3Cam Smith doubles (7) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Denzel Clarke. Jake Meyers scores. Yainer Diaz scores.0–7
3Jose Altuve homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.0–5
2Jeremy Peña homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Mauricio Dubón scores.0–4
2Mauricio Dubón doubles (6) on a ground ball to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Chas McCormick scores.0–2
2Chas McCormick doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Yainer Diaz scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










