Rockies at Cubs
Last play · Matt Shaw singles on a fly ball to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Jon Berti scores. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.
Win probability
Cubs100%
COL 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 2 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-2.5
Moneyline
reference+285 / -360
Cubs favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Busch singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jordan Beck. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. (inning 11) — +42% Cubs
11Matt Shaw singles on a fly ball to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Jon Berti scores. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.3–4
11Michael Busch singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jordan Beck. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.3–3
11Brenton Doyle grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch. Ezequiel Tovar scores. Hunter Goodman to 2nd.3–2
7Brenton Doyle homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.2–2
4Ryan McMahon singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Jordan Beck scores.1–2
3Pete Crow-Armstrong grounds into a force out, first baseman Michael Toglia to shortstop Ezequiel Tovar. Ian Happ scores. Kyle Tucker to 3rd. Seiya Suzuki out at 2nd. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 1st.0–2
3Seiya Suzuki singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jordan Beck. Matt Shaw scores. Ian Happ to 3rd. Kyle Tucker to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










