Reds at Royals
Last play · Kyle Isbel strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Royals0%
CIN 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 2 – 2 KC
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Royals favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Elly De La Cruz homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 6) — -22% Reds
9Santiago Espinal doubles (9) on a ground ball to left fielder Drew Waters. TJ Friedl scores.7–2
8Matt McLain grounds into a force out, second baseman Michael Massey to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. Elly De La Cruz scores. Tyler Stephenson to 3rd. Spencer Steer out at 2nd. Matt McLain to 1st.6–2
8Spencer Steer walks. Santiago Espinal scores. Elly De La Cruz to 3rd. Tyler Stephenson to 2nd.5–2
8Santiago Espinal singles on a ground ball to pitcher John Schreiber. TJ Friedl scores. Santiago Espinal to 2nd. Throwing error by pitcher John Schreiber.4–2
6Elly De La Cruz homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.3–2
4Elly De La Cruz homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.2–2
2Jonathan India singles on a ground ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Michael Massey scores. Kyle Isbel to 2nd.1–2
2Kyle Isbel singles on a ground ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Maikel Garcia scores. Michael Massey to 3rd.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










