Braves at Phillies
Last play · Ronald Acuña Jr. lines out to center fielder Johan Rojas.
Win probability
Phillies100%
ATL 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 1 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Phillies favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Edmundo Sosa grounds out, shortstop Luke Williams to first baseman Matt Olson. (inning 8) — +12% Phillies
8J.T. Realmuto walks. Alec Bohm scores. Nick Castellanos to 3rd. Max Kepler to 2nd.0–2
2Max Kepler doubles (12) on a fly ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Alec Bohm scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










