Twins at Rays
Last play · José Caballero flies out sharply to left fielder DaShawn Keirsey Jr.
Win probability
Rays0%
MIN 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 2 – 1 TB
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Rays favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kody Clemens homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 2) — -16% Twins
8Ty France singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Carlos Correa scores.4–2
7Kameron Misner grounds out to first baseman Ty France. José Caballero scores.3–2
6Brooks Lee reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Brandon Lowe. Ryan Jeffers scores. Carlos Correa to 3rd. Throwing error by second baseman Brandon Lowe.3–1
4Jonathan Aranda singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kody Clemens. Brandon Lowe scores.2–1
2Kody Clemens homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.2–0
1Brooks Lee out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Trevor Larnach scores. Carlos Correa to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










