Nationals at Mariners
Last play · Nathaniel Lowe flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
Win probability
Mariners100%
WSH 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 1 – 4 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+185 / -225
Mariners favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Julio Rodríguez homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. J.P. Crawford scores. (inning 1) — +17% Mariners
8Randy Arozarena grounds into a force out, third baseman José Tena to second baseman Luis García Jr. Ben Williamson scores. J.P. Crawford scores. Julio Rodríguez out at 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Luis García Jr.1–9
6Julio Rodríguez singles on a fly ball to right fielder Daylen Lile, deflected by second baseman Luis García Jr. Ben Williamson scores.1–7
6J.P. Crawford grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Donovan Solano scores. Ben Williamson to 2nd.1–6
6Ben Williamson reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman José Tena. Dylan Moore scores. Donovan Solano to 3rd.1–5
5Cal Raleigh homers (19) on a fly ball to left field.1–4
4James Wood homers (14) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
1Cal Raleigh homers (18) on a fly ball to left field.0–3
1Julio Rodríguez homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. J.P. Crawford scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










