Red Sox at Brewers
Last play · Caleb Durbin out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Sal Frelick scores.
Win probability
Brewers100%
BOS 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 3 – 2 MIL
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Brewers favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Isaac Collins reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Kristian Campbell. Daz Cameron scores. Sal Frelick to 3rd. Isaac Collins to 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Kristian Campbell. (inning 10) — +42% Brewers
10Caleb Durbin out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Sal Frelick scores.5–6
10Isaac Collins reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Kristian Campbell. Daz Cameron scores. Sal Frelick to 3rd. Isaac Collins to 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Kristian Campbell.5–5
10David Hamilton grounds into a force out, second baseman Brice Turang to shortstop Joey Ortiz. Nick Sogard scores. Trevor Story out at 2nd. David Hamilton to 1st.5–4
7Wilyer Abreu homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.4–4
6Caleb Durbin doubles (7) on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. William Contreras scores. Sal Frelick scores.3–4
5Jackson Chourio grounds out softly to first baseman Nick Sogard. Jake Bauers scores. Brice Turang to 3rd.3–2
4Rafael Devers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Chourio. Connor Wong scores. Jarren Duran scores.3–1
3Jake Bauers homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










