Braves at Phillies
Last play · Eli White called out on strikes.
Win probability
Phillies100%
ATL 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 3 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Phillies favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Braves challenged (hit by pitch), call on the field was upheld: Rafael Marchán hit by pitch. Johan Rojas scores. Max Kepler to 3rd. Brandon Marsh to 2nd. (inning 8) — +29% Phillies
8Braves challenged (hit by pitch), call on the field was upheld: Rafael Marchán hit by pitch. Johan Rojas scores. Max Kepler to 3rd. Brandon Marsh to 2nd.4–5
8Michael Harris II doubles (10) on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores.4–4
8Sean Murphy homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.3–4
7Kyle Schwarber homers (19) on a fly ball to right field.2–4
6Ronald Acuña Jr. singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Matt Olson scores. Sean Murphy to 2nd.2–3
6Sean Murphy singles on a line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Austin Riley scores. Matt Olson to 2nd.1–3
5Trea Turner singles on a ground ball to third baseman Austin Riley. Rafael Marchán scores. Bryson Stott to 2nd.0–3
3Rafael Marchán homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Brandon Marsh scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










