Reds at Royals
Last play · TJ Friedl strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Royals100%
CIN 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 2 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Royals favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Steer singles on a line drive to left fielder Dairon Blanco. Austin Hays scores. Tyler Stephenson to 2nd. (inning 6) — -14% Reds
8Spencer Steer singles on a line drive to left fielder Drew Waters. Elly De La Cruz scores.2–3
7Bobby Witt Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Connor Joe. Kyle Isbel scores. Jonathan India to 3rd.1–3
6Spencer Steer singles on a line drive to left fielder Dairon Blanco. Austin Hays scores. Tyler Stephenson to 2nd.1–2
5Bobby Witt Jr. doubles (21) on a ground ball to right fielder Connor Joe. John Rave scores.0–2
4Drew Waters singles on a ground ball to right fielder Connor Joe, deflected by second baseman Matt McLain. Maikel Garcia scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










