Twins at Rays
Last play · Royce Lewis flies out to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
Win probability
Rays100%
MIN 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 4 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Rays favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Lowe homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 4) — +19% Rays
8Taylor Walls strikes out swinging.0–5
5Jonathan Aranda singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kody Clemens. Yandy Díaz scores.0–4
4Junior Caminero homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Jonathan Aranda scores.0–3
4Brandon Lowe homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










