Pirates at D-backs
Last play · Jose Herrera called out on strikes.
Win probability
D-backs0%
PIT 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 3 – 0 AZ
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
D-backs favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Oneil Cruz reaches on a fielder's choice. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Jared Triolo to 3rd. Oneil Cruz to 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Jordan Lawlar. (inning 5) — -20% Pirates
9Tim Tawa homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.10–1
8Oneil Cruz homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores.10–0
6Bryan Reynolds triples (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Jared Triolo scores.8–0
6Andrew McCutchen grounds out, third baseman Eugenio Suárez to first baseman Pavin Smith. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Jared Triolo to 3rd.7–0
6Isiah Kiner-Falefa doubles (7) on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Henry Davis scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores.6–0
6Ke'Bryan Hayes singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Spencer Horwitz scores. Henry Davis to 2nd.4–0
5Oneil Cruz reaches on a fielder's choice. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Jared Triolo to 3rd. Oneil Cruz to 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Jordan Lawlar.3–0
2Henry Davis singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Alexander Canario scores. Spencer Horwitz to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










