Rays at Astros
Last play · Zach Dezenzo strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros0%
TB 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 3 – 2 HOU
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Astros favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Altuve homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 6) — +21% Astros
8Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was overturned: José Caballero doubles (10) on a fly ball to shortstop Jeremy Peña. Kameron Misner scores.13–3
8Kameron Misner doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Jonathan Aranda scores. Junior Caminero scores.12–3
8Junior Caminero doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Zach Dezenzo. Josh Lowe scores. Brandon Lowe scores. Jonathan Aranda to 3rd.10–3
7Junior Caminero homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Yandy Díaz scores. Jonathan Aranda scores.8–3
7Jonathan Aranda doubles (11) on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Brandon Lowe scores. Yandy Díaz to 3rd.5–3
7Yandy Díaz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Josh Lowe scores. Brandon Lowe to 3rd.4–3
6Jose Altuve homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.3–3
5Mauricio Dubón singles on a ground ball to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Cam Smith scores.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










