Braves at Phillies
Last play · Alec Bohm flies out sharply to center fielder Michael Harris II.
Win probability
Phillies0%
ATL 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 4 – 0 PHI
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Phillies favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Riley doubles (10) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Weston Wilson. Marcell Ozuna scores. Matt Olson scores. (inning 4) — -26% Braves
9Trea Turner singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Bryson Stott scores.9–3
9Ozzie Albies grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Alec Bohm. Marcell Ozuna scores. Matt Olson to 3rd. Austin Riley to 2nd.9–2
8Edmundo Sosa singles on a fly ball to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Nick Castellanos scores.8–2
8J.T. Realmuto grounds out, shortstop Luke Williams to first baseman Matt Olson. Kyle Schwarber scores.8–1
7Austin Riley homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Drake Baldwin scores.8–0
6Luke Williams singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Austin Riley scores. Ozzie Albies scores. Michael Harris II to 3rd.6–0
4Ozzie Albies homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Austin Riley scores.4–0
4Austin Riley doubles (10) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Weston Wilson. Marcell Ozuna scores. Matt Olson scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










