Red Sox at Braves
Last play · Ronald Acuña Jr. pops out to third baseman Marcelo Mayer in foul territory.
Win probability
Braves0%
BOS 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 2 – 1 ATL
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Braves favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trevor Story homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Abraham Toro scores. (inning 4) — -26% Red Sox
9Rafael Devers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. David Hamilton scores. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Michael Harris II to third baseman Austin Riley. Rafael Devers to 2nd.5–1
6Abraham Toro doubles (4) on a fly ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Carlos Narváez scores.3–1
4Trevor Story homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Abraham Toro scores.2–1
1Matt Olson singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Marcell Ozuna to 3rd. Matt Olson to 2nd. Throwing error by right fielder Wilyer Abreu.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










