Rockies at Mets
Last play · Michael Toglia strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets100%
COL 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 0 – 3 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-2.5
Moneyline
reference+250 / -310
Mets favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was overturned: Francisco Lindor homers (12) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 8) — +17% Mets
8Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was overturned: Francisco Lindor homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.2–4
7Sam Hilliard homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.2–3
6Ryan McMahon doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Thairo Estrada scores. Brenton Doyle to 3rd.1–3
4Starling Marte homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.0–3
3Juan Soto doubles (11) on a line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Francisco Lindor scores.0–2
1Francisco Lindor homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










