Rays at Astros
Last play · Yainer Diaz homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.
Win probability
Astros100%
TB 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 0 HOU
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Astros favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Zach Dezenzo singles on a ground ball to second baseman Curtis Mead. Jake Meyers scores. Throwing error by second baseman Curtis Mead. (inning 8) — +32% Astros
9Yainer Diaz homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.1–2
8Zach Dezenzo singles on a ground ball to second baseman Curtis Mead. Jake Meyers scores. Throwing error by second baseman Curtis Mead.1–1
1José Caballero homers (2) on a line drive to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










