Twins at Mariners
Last play · Julio Rodríguez grounds out, shortstop Carlos Correa to first baseman Ty France.
Win probability
Mariners0%
MIN 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 2 – 4 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Mariners favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carlos Correa homers (5) on a line drive to left center field. DaShawn Keirsey Jr. scores. (inning 10) — -45% Twins
10Trevor Larnach doubles (8) on a ground ball to right fielder Leody Taveras. Willi Castro scores. Byron Buxton scores.12–6
10Byron Buxton singles on a ground ball to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Brooks Lee scores. Harrison Bader scores. Willi Castro to 2nd.10–6
10Carlos Correa homers (5) on a line drive to left center field. DaShawn Keirsey Jr. scores.8–6
9Trevor Larnach singles on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Byron Buxton scores.6–6
9Willi Castro homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Ty France scores.5–6
8Cal Raleigh homers (21) on a fly ball to right field. Julio Rodríguez scores.3–6
7Willi Castro homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.3–4
4Brooks Lee grounds out, second baseman Miles Mastrobuoni to first baseman Rowdy Tellez. Ryan Jeffers scores.2–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










