Red Sox at Braves
Last play · Marcelo Mayer flies out to left fielder Alex Verdugo.
Win probability
Braves100%
BOS 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 0 – 5 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Braves favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Riley homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 4) — +15% Braves
4Ronald Acuña Jr. homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Michael Harris II scores.0–5
4Michael Harris II singles on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Ozzie Albies scores.0–3
4Austin Riley homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.0–2
1Matt Olson doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










