Reds at Cubs
Last play · Jake Fraley strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs100%
CIN 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 0 CHC
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 43.4% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -180
Cubs favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Seiya Suzuki doubles (18) on a fly ball to right fielder Will Benson. Ian Happ scores. Kyle Tucker to 3rd. (inning 8) — +29% Cubs
8Dansby Swanson singles on a ground ball to shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Kyle Tucker scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd. Carson Kelly to 2nd.0–2
8Seiya Suzuki doubles (18) on a fly ball to right fielder Will Benson. Ian Happ scores. Kyle Tucker to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










