Rockies at Mets
Last play · Brenton Doyle flies out to left fielder Jeff McNeil.
Win probability
Mets100%
COL 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 7 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-2.5
Moneyline
reference+285 / -360
Mets favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brett Baty triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Sam Hilliard. Francisco Lindor scores. Brandon Nimmo scores. Juan Soto scores. (inning 1) — +31% Mets
8Jeff McNeil homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.2–8
7Thairo Estrada singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jeff McNeil. Ezequiel Tovar scores. Ryan McMahon to 2nd.2–7
4Juan Soto homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.1–7
4Brandon Nimmo homers (9) on a line drive to right center field. Francisco Lindor scores.1–6
1Tyrone Taylor singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Brett Baty scores.1–4
1Brett Baty triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Sam Hilliard. Francisco Lindor scores. Brandon Nimmo scores. Juan Soto scores.1–3
1Ezequiel Tovar homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










