White Sox at Orioles
Last play · Austin Slater called out on strikes.
Win probability
Orioles100%
CWS 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 1 – 4 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Orioles favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jorge Mateo homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Dylan Carlson scores. (inning 5) — +17% Orioles
7Mike Tauchman singles on a line drive to right fielder Heston Kjerstad. Vinny Capra scores.2–4
5Jorge Mateo homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Dylan Carlson scores.1–4
5Andrew Benintendi singles on a line drive to right fielder Heston Kjerstad. Mike Tauchman scores.1–2
4Coby Mayo singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Joshua Palacios. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Coby Mayo out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Joshua Palacios to third baseman Josh Rojas to second baseman Lenyn Sosa to first baseman Miguel Vargas.0–2
1Jackson Holliday homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










