Twins at Mariners
Last play · Umpire reviewed (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Cole Young reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Ty France. Miles Mastrobuoni scores.
Win probability
Mariners100%
MIN 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 3 – 2 SEA
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Mariners favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · J.P. Crawford homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Ben Williamson scores. (inning 7) — +44% Mariners
11Umpire reviewed (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Cole Young reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Ty France. Miles Mastrobuoni scores.4–5
9Trevor Larnach singles on a ground ball to right fielder Leody Taveras. Byron Buxton scores.4–4
7J.P. Crawford homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Ben Williamson scores.3–4
3Cal Raleigh homers (22) on a fly ball to right field. Ben Williamson scores.3–2
2Byron Buxton singles on a ground ball to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Willi Castro scores. Harrison Bader to 2nd.3–0
2Matt Wallner homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Carlos Correa scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










