Pirates at Tigers
Last play · Riley Greene flies out to center fielder Oneil Cruz.
Win probability
Tigers0%
PIT 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 4 – 2 DET
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.5% · hold 7.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +100
Tigers favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colt Keith homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Trey Sweeney scores. (inning 7) — +38% Tigers
10Isiah Kiner-Falefa singles on a ground ball to left fielder Zach McKinstry. Nick Gonzales scores. Jared Triolo scores. Billy Cook to 2nd.8–4
10Joey Bart singles on a ground ball to left fielder Zach McKinstry. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Nick Gonzales to 3rd. Jared Triolo to 2nd.6–4
10Tigers challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Ke'Bryan Hayes singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Tommy Pham scores.5–4
7Colt Keith homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Trey Sweeney scores.4–4
5Gleyber Torres doubles (12) on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Jake Rogers scores. Colt Keith scores.4–2
3Andrew McCutchen homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.4–0
2Jared Triolo homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Adam Frazier scores.3–0
2Nick Gonzales homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








