Brewers at Cubs
Last play · Carson Kelly flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
Win probability
Cubs0%
MIL 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 2 – 0 CHC
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold -4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Cubs favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brice Turang homers (13) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 3) — -14% Brewers
8William Contreras walks.7–0
8Caleb Durbin grounds into a force out, second baseman Willi Castro to shortstop Nico Hoerner. Danny Jansen scores. Joey Ortiz to 3rd. Brice Turang out at 2nd. Caleb Durbin to 1st.6–0
8Brice Turang singles on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Sal Frelick scores. Danny Jansen to 3rd. Joey Ortiz to 2nd.5–0
8Joey Ortiz singles on a ground ball to second baseman Willi Castro. Blake Perkins scores. Sal Frelick to 3rd. Danny Jansen to 2nd.4–0
6Joey Ortiz singles on a ground ball to pitcher Luke Little. Sal Frelick scores. Danny Jansen to 3rd. Joey Ortiz to 2nd. Throwing error by pitcher Luke Little.3–0
5Caleb Durbin homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
3Brice Turang homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








