Mets at Braves
Last play · Tyrone Taylor strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves100%
NYM 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 1 – 3 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Braves favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Matt Olson scores. Marcell Ozuna to 2nd. (inning 4) — +16% Braves
6Drake Baldwin singles on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Matt Olson scores.1–7
6Matt Olson doubles (17) on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Nick Allen scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Austin Riley scores.1–6
5Ozzie Albies walks. Austin Riley scores. Matt Olson to 3rd. Drake Baldwin to 2nd.1–3
5Drake Baldwin walks. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Austin Riley to 3rd. Matt Olson to 2nd.1–2
4Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Matt Olson scores. Marcell Ozuna to 2nd.1–1
2Ronny Mauricio singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Tyrone Taylor scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








