Twins at Reds
Last play · Connor Joe strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Reds0%
MIN 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 9 – 4 CIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Reds favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kody Clemens homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Ryan Jeffers scores. (inning 2) — -25% Twins
9Brooks Lee walks. Willi Castro scores. Trevor Larnach to 3rd. Carlos Correa to 2nd.12–5
8Ryan Jeffers homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Carlos Correa scores.11–5
7TJ Friedl singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Matt McLain scores.9–5
4Carlos Correa singles on a ground ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Trevor Larnach scores.9–4
4Trevor Larnach doubles (11) on a line drive to right fielder Will Benson. Willi Castro scores.8–4
3Gavin Lux homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. TJ Friedl scores.7–4
3Ryan Jeffers doubles (14) on a line drive to left fielder Spencer Steer. Carlos Correa scores. Ty France scores.7–2
3Ty France doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Spencer Steer. Willi Castro scores. Carlos Correa to 3rd.5–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








