Brewers at Cubs
Last play · Seiya Suzuki grounds into a double play, third baseman Caleb Durbin to second baseman Brice Turang to first baseman Rhys Hoskins. Ian Happ out at 2nd. Seiya Suzuki out at 1st.
Win probability
Cubs0%
MIL 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 8 – 3 CHC
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Cubs favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Caleb Durbin homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Isaac Collins scores. (inning 2) — -24% Brewers
8Nico Hoerner singles on a ground ball to shortstop Joey Ortiz. Dansby Swanson scores. Jon Berti to 2nd.8–7
8Carson Kelly grounds into a force out, shortstop Joey Ortiz to second baseman Brice Turang. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Dansby Swanson to 3rd. Vidal Bruján out at 2nd. Carson Kelly to 1st.8–6
7Ian Happ homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Nico Hoerner scores.8–5
5Isaac Collins homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. William Contreras scores. Brice Turang scores.8–3
4Dansby Swanson homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field.5–3
3William Contreras singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Jackson Chourio scores. Christian Yelich to 2nd.5–2
2Caleb Durbin homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Isaac Collins scores.4–2
2Rhys Hoskins homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








