D-backs at Blue Jays
Last play · Will Robertson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
AZ 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 7 – 1 TOR
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Blue Jays favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Eugenio Suárez homers (22) on a fly ball to right center field. Josh Naylor scores. (inning 2) — -24% D-backs
8Alejandro Kirk singles on a ground ball to center fielder Alek Thomas. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.9–5
8Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (16) on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Addison Barger scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 3rd. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr.9–4
8Jonatan Clase homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.9–3
7Alejandro Kirk homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.9–2
6Pavin Smith out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jonatan Clase. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Ketel Marte to 3rd.9–1
6Ketel Marte doubles (7) on a fly ball to left fielder Will Robertson. Jose Herrera scores. Geraldo Perdomo to 3rd.8–1
5Randal Grichuk out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Will Robertson. Josh Naylor scores.7–1
5Pavin Smith homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Ketel Marte scores.6–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








