Orioles at Rays
Last play · Danny Jansen called out on strikes.
Win probability
Rays0%
BAL 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 1 – 1 TB
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Rays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colton Cowser homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Gunnar Henderson scores. Ramón Laureano scores. (inning 6) — -38% Orioles
6Colton Cowser homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Gunnar Henderson scores. Ramón Laureano scores.4–1
4Ryan O'Hearn singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Kameron Misner. Gunnar Henderson scores.1–1
3Danny Jansen singles on a ground ball to left fielder Colton Cowser. José Caballero scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








