Phillies at Marlins
Last play · Dane Myers pops out to third baseman Alec Bohm.
Win probability
Marlins0%
PHI 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 1 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Marlins favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Schwarber homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 8) — -26% Phillies
8Kyle Schwarber homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field.2–1
7Bryson Stott grounds into a force out, fielded by third baseman Connor Norby. Alec Bohm scores. Max Kepler out at 3rd. Otto Kemp to 2nd. Bryson Stott to 1st.1–1
5Nick Fortes singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Cristopher Sánchez. Dane Myers scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








